Using Options and Technical Analysis in a Soybean Countertrend Strategy

Timothy Brace General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

After a rally in Soybeans uncharacteristic for this time of the year, the Nov 19 soybean futures currently trading at 930, could be poised to make a potential near-term move to test the key 961-963 resistance area. Should this happen, an interesting counter trend speculative or hedging strategy, could consist of the sale of the Nov. 2020, 1100 – 1200 …

Position Squaring

Steve Bruce General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

The 6 to 10 day is warmer and wetter than normal for the Heartland and this is good for maturity of the corn and bean crops and moisture is not impeding harvest, yet! We’re still a couple of weeks away from the fly free date and soft red wheat seed sales are reported to be a little higher in the …

Regroup

walshtrading General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

The NWS says warmer and wetter than normal in the Heartland in its last 6 to 10 day forecast. A very positive outlook for crop development as we may gain a little more time for this growing season. And moisture is welcome at this time! A month from now we’ll have a better handle on yields as Mother Nature is …

Down the Rabbit Hole

Steve Bruce General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

Soft red wheat appears to be the new golden child in grains. We’ve got Chicago 76 cents over Kansa City in the December contracts, 55 cents over in the July 2020 contract and 30 cents over in the July 2021 contract. Historically, this is unusual and we have to ask the question of whether lower protein wheat which traditionally has …

Getting Lucky?

Steve Bruce General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

The most recent 6 to 10 day forecast calls for generally warmer and wetter for the Heartland. Hopefully, we get an extended growing season and allow for corn and beans to mature. Get the bushels first and then get the demand! Field reports are still promising for corn in the South and Mid South and hopefully Dorian stays East and …

Hot Potato

Steve Bruce General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

The recent 6 to 10 day forecast for the Heartland is slightly cooler and wetter than normal. Pretty luke warm! September deliveries might weigh on prices as there’s enough of everything everywhere for the next few months. Mother Nature will determine what happens with corn and bean spreads while Chicago wheat remains the special case! After first notice day we’lllook …

Agreement Soon?

Steve Bruce General Commentary, Grains Leave a Comment

The recent 6 to 10 day forecast is calling for cooler and drier than normal in the Heartland. Could be a little supportive for corn and beans as we need more time to mature the crop this year. Deliveries are approaching and cash values suggest lots of corn and beans on the street while soft red wheat is the new …

Pattern Shift?

Steve Bruce Grains Leave a Comment

The NWS 6 to 10 looks very normal temperature wise and slightly wetter than normal yet the further out forecasts are shifting to cooler than normal. This might give the market a cause for pause. Crop tours are likely to be reporting into headquarters the next few days and early indications are that the crop is immature and would benefit …

USDA Uncertainty

Steve Bruce Grains Leave a Comment

                                Sonny Perdue has the USDA working through tomorrow, December 28  and probably next week yet, things may change in early January when we see the transition in  the House of Representatives………………..There is uncertainty over if and when reports are issued given the government slowdown/shutdown and we will be learning as we go…………………………………..The January 11 reports are on the bubble! …

Looking Ahead

Steve Bruce Grains Leave a Comment

                                Southern hemisphere weather, Federal Reserve policy and  geopolitical happenings might be the focus of the grain markets for the next month…………….The January crop reports(the Mother of All Reports)  is set be released on January 11 at 11:00 Chicago time! The USDA is scheduled to release the final production figures, grain stocks as of December 1, winter wheat seeding and …