Category Archive

The beans took another beating today along with the meal. The weather in South America offered a bit more chances for moisture. There remains some long term questions regarding the dryness. The export sales remain disappointing and are well behind a year ago. This will add carryover most likely in the next report. The technical outlook now offers support and will until the …

The markets broke today sharply because stats Canada released the crop estimates. The Canola crop was upped considerably. In addition a few more specs of rain are predicted. The longer term will still remain dry at least at present. The funds bought meal going home and drove it back up towards unchanged. The South American crop is important and a …

The Soy continues its rally based on weather. The general belief now is that south America is under a La Nina scenario, which if true, could bring dryness to much of Argentina through the spring. some of this is speculation but the chance is there and has the market thinking. It is estimated funds bought beans as much as 8,000 …

The markets are rallying led by meal and beans. The meal market is held up on good Chinese demand, and a thought that SA weather presents risk. I don’t want to write to much about this. The Chinese demand is nice and is legit as the demand for animal feed is positive. But needed for global demand. The SA production …

The beans were pushed higher with fund buying today. The weather outlook in Argentina calls for a drier scenario. As mentioned that’s all that the market needs to see. The funds have made a buy play numerous times during this time period and been right as the carry has declined.  In addition the meal has been the leader with a …

SOY – The bean market overall had a lackluster day. The oil share lost again today and remains in a lower end of a range.  Weather is the key word today and the primary focus barr anything. this makes little sense to me considering the global growth in the carry , but viewed as a price opportunity I suppose. The weather …

The markets really are fairly void of volatile moves. the days seem to labor through of late. The oil share made a significant gain back today. Yesterday saw the opposite. Looking down the line. The beans will be focused on the weather in South America. It is early from a calendar perspective. There will be much adjustment in coming days …

The market started higher today. Then sold off quietly throughout the day. The only question that needs to be answered regarding the soy complex is related to South American weather. A timely rain event in Arg, and Brazil and the crops are off to fantastic starts. A bit of dryness and the drought fantasies will come out. This could fuel a …

The Seasonal Rally doesn’t disappoint    We rolled higher led by beans and meal. Oil share taking a pounding yet again. As I have said , we are entering a buy period as harvest is coming to a close. And, the market now looks to South America for production. I have essentially written the same article with different thoughts and words for a couple …