Pure Hedge – Livestock and Grain

Bill AllenGeneral Commentary

12/11/23

The Cattle Markets rallied the second half of the trading day and closed higher. February’24 Live Cattle gained 2.175 today and settled at 167.900, just below today’s high of 168.150. March’24 Feeder Cattle were 2.525 higher today and settled at 218.600, just below the sessions high of 219.000. The Hogs headed the other way. Febeuary’24 Lean Hogs fell 1.650 today and settled at 67.325, not far from today’s low of 66.725. The Cattle markets traded lower this morning but found a bid the same time the Soybeans took off, but that did not help the Corn or the Wheat markets. January’24 Soybeans shot up 32 cents today and settled at 1336, just below today’s high of 1338 ½. The Beans left the Corn and Wheat in the dust. March’24 Corn dropped 4 cents today and settled at 481 ½, just above today’s low of 479 ¾, and not far from the 1-month and 52-week low of 470 ½. Wheat turned around and headed South today. March’24 Wheat broke 22 ¼ cents today and settled at 609 ½, just above today’s low of 607 ¼. Once again, the weather in Brazil sparked a rally in the Soybean market. The weather forecast called for fewer rain showers than were expected last week. These spikes in the markets happen, but it does not change my outlook on the market. I see these market spikes as opportunity to roll into other trades. I still feel that Jan’24 Beans will settle around the $13.00 level. If or when the forecast changes, and rain is added, I believe the Beans will head straight down. I still feel that $11.50 Soybeans will be seen in Summer/Fall of 2024. The Cattle gained a couple dollars today, but I am still Bearish, and I believe the Live Cattle and Feeders will be heading lower from here.

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Bill Allen

Senior Account Executive

Direct:      1 312 957 8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

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