Pure Hedge – Grain

Bill AllenGeneral Commentary

12/15/23

The Grain Markets were all higher today. January’24 Soybeans gained 1 ¾ today and settled at 1315 ¾. For the week Beans were up 11 ¾ or almost 1%, but still down 69 ¼ cents or 5% since 11/15. March Corn was 3 ¾ cents higher today and settled at 483, just below today’s high of 484. For the week, March’24 Corn is down 2 ½ cents and since 11/15 Corn is down 5 ½ cents or just over 1%. The Wheat Market had a nice gain today. March’24 Wheat was up 13 ½ cents todays and settled at 629 ¼, just below the high of 630 today. For the week Wheat is down 2 ½ cents, but since 11/15 March’24 Wheat is 41 ¼ cents higher or over 7%. I still feel that the beans are going to break, and that we see $11,50 Soybeans this Summer or Fall, and then head lower from there. I recommend hedging in July’24 Soybeans now. There is always opportunity if you know where to look for it. Next Year’s Prices: August’24 Soybeans 1331, September’24 Corn 505 1/2, September’24 Wheat 652 3/4.

SOYBEAN CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
JAN’24 1315 3/41400C1/2$25
1450C1/8$6.25
1500C1/8$6.25
ATM 1320C 10 7/8ATM STRADDLE 26EXPIRES 12/22/23
MAR’24 1331 1/21400C17 1/8$856.25
 1450C8 5/8$431.25
 1500C4 1/2$225
ATM 1330C 41 1/2ATM STRADDLE 81 1/2EXPIRES 2/23/24
JUL’24 13501500C22 3/4$1,137.50
1600C11$550
1700C5 5/8$281.25
ATM 1340C 72 5/8ATM STRADDLE 135 1/2EXPIRES 6/21/24

SOYBEAN PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
JAN’24 1315 3/41270P1 1/4$62.50
1250P1/2$25
1200P1/8$6.25
ATM 1320P 14 5/8ATM STRADDLE 26EXPIRES 12/22/23
MAR’24 1331 1/21300P26 5/8$1,331.25
 1250P12 1/8$606.25
 1200P5 1/4$262.50
ATM 1330P 40ATM STRADDLE 81 1/2EXPIRES 2/23/24
JUL’24 13501200P16 1/2$825
1100P5 3/8$268.75
1000P2$100
ATM 1340P 62 7/8ATM STRADDLE 135 1/2EXPIRES 6/21/24

AUGUST’24 SOYBEAN

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVESTRIKE CURRENT PRICE
1331 10% BULL MOVE 1464 1/8 1460C 32 1/2
1331 10% BEAR MOVE 1197 7/8 1200P 24 1/2
1331 20% BULL MOVE 1597 1/4 1580C 14 5/8
1331 20% BEAR MOVE 1064 3/4 1080P 7
1331 30% BULL MOVE 1730 1/4 1720C 6 1/4
1331 30% BEAR MOVE 931 3/4 940P 1 3/4
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.

CORN CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
MAR’24 483500C8 1/4$412.50
530C2 3/4$137.50
560C1 1/8$56.25
ATM 485C 13 5/8ATM STRADDLE 29 1/4EXPIRES 2/23/24
MAY’24 495 1/4550C6 7/8$343.75
 600C2 1/2$125
 650C1 1/8$56.25
ATM 500C 20 1/4ATM STRADDLE 45 1/4EXPIRES 4/26/24
JUL’24 504 3/4550C14 1/2$725
600C6 1/2$325
650C3 1/4$162.50
ATM 500C 31 1/4ATM STRADDLE 57 3/4EXPIRES 6/21/24

CORN PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
MAR’24 483460P5 3/8$268.25
430P1 1/8$56.25
400P1/4$12.50
ATM 485P 15 5/8ATM STRADDLE 29 1/4EXPIRES 2/23/24
MAY’24 495 1/4460P7 7/8$393.75
 430P2 1/2$125
 400P7/8$43.75
ATM 500P 25ATM STRADDLE 45 1/4EXPIRES 4/26/24
JUL’24 504 3/4450P7 5/8$381.25
400P1 1/2$75
350P3/8$18.75
ATM 500P 26 1/2ATM STRADDLE 57 3/4EXPIRES 6/21/24

SEPTEMBER’24 CORN

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVE STRIKE CURRENT PRICE
505 1/2 10% BULL MOVE 556 1/8 550C 21 7/8
505 1/2 10% BEAR MOVE 454 7/8 460P 15 7/8
505 1/2 20% BULL MOVE 606 3/4 600C 12 1/8
505 1/2 20% BEAR MOVE 404 1/2 410P 4 1/2
505 1/2 30% BULL MOVE 657 1/8 650C 6 7/8
505 1/2 30% BEAR MOVE 353 3/4 360P 1 1/8
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS

WHEAT CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
MAR’24 629 1/4650C21 5/8$1,081.25
700C10$500
750C5$250
ATM 630C 29ATM STRADDLE 58 3/4EXPIRES 2/23/24
MAY’24 639 1/2700C22 5/8$1,131.25
 750C13 3/4$687.50
 800C8 3/4$437.50
ATM 640C 41 1/2ATM STRADDLE 83 1/2EXPIRES 4/26/24
JUL’24 644 1/4 700C31 1/8$1,556.25
800C13 7/8$693.75
900C7$350
ATM 640C 51 1/8ATM STRADDLE 98EXPIRES 6/21/24

WHEAT PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
MAR’24 629 1/4550P3 5/8$181.25
525P1 1/2$75
500P5/8$31.25
ATM 630P 29 3/4ATM STRADDLE 58 3/4EXPIRES 2/23/24
MAY’24 639 1/2550P7 3/4$387.50
 500P2 1/8$106.25
 450P5/8$31.25
ATM 640P 42ATM STRADDLE 83 1/2EXPIRES 4/26/24
JUL’24 644 1/4550P11$550
500P3 5/8$181.25
450P1 1/8$56.25
ATM 640P46 7/8ATM STRADDLE 98EXPIRES 6/21/24

SEPTEMBER’24 WHEAT

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVE STRIKE CURRENT PRICE
652 3/4 10% BULL MOVE 718 1/8 710C 37 5/8
652 3/4 10% BEAR MOVE 587 3/8 590P 27 3/4
652 3/4 20% BULL MOVE 783 3/8 780C 24
652 3/4 20% BEAR MOVE 522 1/4 530P 10
652 3/4 30% BULL MOVE 848 1/2 840C 16 1/2
652 3/4 30% BEAR MOVE 456 7/8 460P 2 3/8
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.

I have market commentary and option charts in Pure Hedge – Livestock

and Pure Hedge – Grain at WWW.WALSHTRADING.COM 

Call for specific trade recommendations.

1-312-957-8079 

1.800.993.5449

Email me for free research. 

BAllen@walshtrading.com 

Bill Allen

Senior Account Executive

Direct:      1 312 957 8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

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