March Hard Red Wheat Supply and Demand outside of China

Peter OriGeneral Commentary

Hard Red Wheat can potentially strengthen further in my opinion,  last as of this writing 507. News of positive trade talks with China helps but Wheat overall, separately from China news, can rally with  demand from traditional wheat importers out of North Africa and the Middle East.  Argentina has issues as well with their Wheat quality helping the bid. Buying the March Hard Red KEH19 Wheat 507, with a stop at  499 risk of $400, I am looking at potentially moving toward 525, $900 or potentially as high as the 200 day moving average of  534, $1350.

Consider a Call strategy buy the March 515 Call costing 9-5 = $481.25 of quantifiable risk plus fees and associated costs per transaction to enter the trade.

Protecting the downside consider the March 495 Put cost 6-6 = $337.50 of quantifiable risk plus fees and associated costs per transaction to enter the trade.

MARCH OPTIONS EXPIRE IN 31 DAYS 2/22/19 AND TRADE WITH THE UNDERLYING MARCH KEH19 FUTURES

To discuss any strategies feel free to call 888-391-7894 or email me peterori@walshtrading.com




Walsh Trading, Inc. is registered as an Guaranteed Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and an NFA Member.
 
Futures and options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Therefore, individuals should carefully consider their financial condition in deciding whether to trade. Option traders should be aware that the exercise of a long option will result in a futures position. The valuation of futures and options may fluctuate, and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
 
All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Walsh Trading, Inc. (WTI) shall be construed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. WTI does not distribute research reports, employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.
 
The information contained on this site is the opinion of the writer and obtained from sources cited within the commentary. The impact on market prices due to seasonal or market cycles and current news events may already be reflected in current market prices