Category Archive

COMMENTARY: Meal gained as unwinding long bean oil short meal is in force. The oil share has broken approx 4% in the last week. The weather has moderated. The exports have slowed. The crush pace may very well be over stated. The market will eye the acreage at month end for help with the direction. As mentioned yesterday, the weather …

COMMENTARY: The soy complex in general has exhibited weakness. The USDA report took the edge off the market with the slight uptick in the carry over. In addition, the weather has moderated in some of the belt. The market seems to also be taking the posture that the critical period for beans is July August. This is true. It is …

AG SOY The USDA report today was mostly as expected . The 20/21 carry 135 million bu. The 21/22 carry a bit larger than anticipated at 155 million bu . The reality is both are still tight ending stocks. There exists no global tightness. However, due to the extreme situation in the US, this years bean crop is very important …

AG SOY The beans were under pressure today . The WASDE report tomorrow may have been a reason there was liquidation today . A few thoughts to consider . Tomorrow the USDA should confirm the recent carry numbers in soy. The market is looking at A recent run up that was and is essentially fueled by bio diesel demand . …

AG SOY The beans and products were all higher. The crop conditions yesterday were lower than the market had anticipated. The gd to ex was rated at 67%. This is concerning to the early stages of the market. To note the planting is well ahead of schedule. The vegoil continues to be the leader. The meal did post a positive …

AG Soy The soy was sharply higher last night, led again by beans and bean oil. The trade today brought about a two sided affair. There are some real considerations here.  The vegoil market is led by the demand for bio fuel . This is constant . The domestic market remains supported and tight . The meal on the other hand …

AG The overall feeling in the market is concern over weather. This has fueled a rally to close out the week. BEANS – The bean market was very strong today. The continued leader is the bean oil with oil share surging above 47%. The meal rallied a bit late, attempting to do a little late day keep up. The concern …

AG The markets were higher early, as the morning progressed the markets liquidated in general. BEANS – The soy was actually led lower by the bean oil. The fundamentals remain supportive at present. However, the oilshare has had a very significant move of late with the market above 46 % at present. It has been my contention that the oil …

The soy experienced a two sided choppy trade overall.  The market is dealing with the time of year, the South American production, as well as the Chinese decline in US bean purchases. The fact remains at present that the US balance sheet remains tight. The question now is will the carry be ample through the summer. Will the weather remain favorable. …

The beans were under pressure today. The feature of the day was the domestic basis levels are starting to fade. This indicates enough beans in the pipeline for the time being. The oil share corrected today and settled at approximately 43.78%. This is a reasonable pull back. It is my thought that the bean oil can still trade to the …