The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Thursday, February 13, 2025 April Live Cattle (Daily) Today, April Live Cattle closed at 196.525, up .800 on the day. Yesterday’s trade posted a bit of an equilibrium day, to my eye. Not quite a textbook Doji, as there was .100 difference between …
Chart of the Day – Live Cattle
The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Tuesday, December 10, 2024 February Live Cattle February Live Cattle settled 2.00 higher today, at 189.025, nearly matching the high close from last week. Monday’s trade activity posted a “Bullish Engulfment” on the candlestick charts, which is usually supportive, and traders pushed prices …
Chart of the Day – February Live Cattle
The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Thursday, December 5, 2024 February Live Cattle On Thursday, the February Live Cattle closed down 2.000 at 186.325. That the lowest close since November 18th. As you can see on the chart above, the red trendline resistance, drawn off of the March and …
Fat Cattle Gameplan December 2024
Given the Fed mandate and intention of taming inflation amid a rally in the US Dollar, the last area in our view that we have seen price pressure has been in the livestock markets. A few reasons in our view for the three-month rally that began in early September. Per USDA, Cash Cattle prices are up over 20 cents from …
Chart of the Day – December Live Cattle
The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity December Live Cattle The December Live Cattle contract finished the day up 0.62 at 185.40, roughly in the middle of the range today. They started off firmer in reaction to the election results, jumping to 186.60 and setting new highs for the week …
State of Confusion in Cattle
The cash market has been breaking down the past month as packers have regained control of the price action, in my opinion. The Equity markets have been under pressure as traders worry about economic conditions. Cattle and Feeder cattle are still relatively close to their all-time highs as the rest of the commodity markets for the most part is well …
Livestock Update
Commentary: The Live board closed down. The nearby limit again. As indicated Thursday the market is not signaling a low yet. The fundamentals continue to point to potentially further losses. The issue is two fold. First the packer appears to be slowing the slaughter rate. This would cause a backup and continue to pressure prices. Second, the pork market is …
Livestock Update
Commentary: CATTLE The Live market under considerable pressure again today. The cutout values declining considerablly in the last 10 days. There are concerns that are real that the slaughter will continue to slow. The numbers for the week prove this is grounded in reality. The shutting of the JBS plant is of concern as well and falls in line with …
Livestock Update
Commentary: LIVE CATTLE The cattle opened lower today. The close was locked limit. Look for follow through. The expanded limits after yesterdays close did not help. The talk of discount to cash means little to the market. It should be remembered that it has rarely of late. The weights remain high during a difficult time. The consumer is spent after restocking. …
Livestock Update
Commentary: LIVE The meat market has a lot to consider at present, as all markets do. The Covid has taken its toll on demand and is a consideration. The cattle weights remain high and this is an issue. The March demand story that had consumers buying to stock the freezer to get through a couple weeks has turned into a …