The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Tuesday, February 18, 2025 May Soybeans (Daily) Today, May Soybeans settled at 10.48 ¼, down 7 ¼ cents. Volume was high at just over 111,000 contracts traded, setting a new volume high for May futures. The close pushed prices back below the 5- …
Chart of the Day – March Soybeans
The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Tuesday, February 4, 2025 March Soybeans (Daily) Today, March Soybeans closed at 10.75, up 16 ¾. That’s the best close since October 3rd. The threat of tariffs have caused a bit of whiplash over the past few days, causing a 16 ½ cents …
Chart of the Day – March Soybeans
The information and opinions expressed below are based on my analysis of price behavior and chart activity Monday, December 16, 2024 March Soybeans Open Interest has shifted to the March contracts in the Soy complex. January is still leading, as far as volume goes, but that will change in the coming days. Today, the March contract dropped 9 cents, to …
AG TIME
The soy quiet but lower. The tariffs are slated to hit more Chinese goods. The African swine fever continues to quietly spread. The market, I believe, will need to deal with the latter for some time. It is there to stay until eradicated. The setup in China makes the spread easy. I remain bearish soy. However, the market has fallen …
AG TIME – Marking Time Now
The soy markets have corrected a bit here with meal leading the way. The USDA report Wednesday should provide a couple things. 1) confirmation of a larger carry. 2) confirmation of a weakening demand base. The current estimates have cut China’s demand back. It is important in my opinion to understand that the numbers in and of themselves by all …
AG TIME – What is Going on?
The meal rallied today. The thought of Argentina putting an export tax on beans is pushing meal. This to me does not make sense. The US harvest is upon us and the size of the crop will allow Argentina, and any one else for that matter, to buy beans, import and crush for profit. The world is awash with a …
Harvest Approaches………Preliminary 9/5
It appears as if “Anything Goes” as we approach corn and bean harvest, wheat seeding, mid-term elections and new trade deals with Canada, China and others………………….We are a week away from the USDA Production and Supply/Demand estimates for conditions as of September 1 …………………. Some crop tours have suggested that the corn crop is close to the August USDA figure …
AG TIME – Enjoy the Weekend
The markets in general (row crop) witnessed some strength. Nothing goes straight up or down. The bean market was due a bit of a bounce in my opinion. The sales remain strong given the discounts to South America. In addition, as I mentioned yesterday, the Argentinian currency situation and the Brazilian sales to date may force the Chinese back to …
AG TIME – A Tale of Two Cities
The soy is experiencing a quiet day overall. The market is digesting the recent break and perhaps consolidating for a minute. The weather looks conducive to bringing home a very large soybean crop. The reality is that we have priced in a realistic price relative to the historic numbers. My contention is that the prices are supposed to move to …
Scale Down
In my view we’re enjoying a fantastic finish of the growing season for corn and beans and the National Weather Service is calling for slightly warmer and wetter than normal conditions in the Heartland in its 6 to 10 day forecast. The state by state condition reports usually receive less emphasis as crops near harvest in my opinion. The market …