Soybean Oil is Back

Hans SchmitGeneral Commentary

SOYBEANS–   

The entire soybean complex was sharply higher today. China continues to buy soybeans. Another 136k mt sale was reported today. Yesterday’s EPA announcement was bullish for soybean oil despite the decision to increase refinery blending exemptions because of reallocations. The latest Crop Progress report points toward the crop size getting smaller rather than larger.

November’26 Soybeans (ZSX26) settled at 1317.75 (+30.50), high of 1320.5, low of 1290. January ‘27 Soybeans (ZSF27) settled at 1333.50 (+30.25), high of 1335.25, low of 1305. Cash price is at 1280 (+20)

December Bean Meal (ZMU26) settled at 351.9 (+6.60) high of 353.1, low of 342.5

December Bean Oil (ZLK26) settled at 72.63 (+1.50) high of 73, low of 72

Meal to Oil ratio (48.825% Meal – 51.175% Oil)

ZSX26 Moving Averages – (1285) 5-day, (1223) 20-day, (1202) 50-day, (1185) 100-day, (1147) 200-day

ZSF27 Moving Averages – (1300) 5-day, (1238) 20-day, (1217) 50-day, (1198) 100-day, (1159) 200-day

ZMZ26 Moving Averages – (345.4) 5-day, (325.5) 20-day, (320.3) 50-day, (317.8) 100-day, (317.9) 200-day

ZLZ26 Moving Averages – (70.21) 5-day, (69.16) 20-day, (68.94) 50-day, (68.79) 100-day, (62.23) 200-day

CORN –

December’26 Corn settled at 546 (+7.75) (ZCU26) high of 548, low of 534.25. March ’27 Corn (ZCZ26) settled at 559.75 (+7.50). Cash price is 532 (+3)      

Corn has shown impressive strength and prices continue to grind higher. It looks like corn avoided any major end-of-month profit-taking and Friday selling last week. Unless something changes that causes funds to liquidate their near-record long position, corn should continue to rally.

ZCZ26 Moving Averages – (538) 5-day, (498) 20-day, (475) 50-day, (475) 100-day, (471) 200-day

ZCH27 Moving Averages – (552) 5-day, (513) 20-day, (491) 50-day, (490) 100-day, (484) 200-day

WHEAT –

December Chicago Wheat (ZWZ26) settled at 782.5 (+7), with a high of 792.75, low of 767. March ‘27 Wheat (ZWZ26) settled at 796.25 (+8). Chicago Wheat has a cash price of 715 (-14). December KC Wheat (KEZ26) settled at 843.50 (+5.50)           

Chicago wheat made a high at 792 ¼ in the overnight session continuing the pattern of strong overnight trading in wheat. After some optimism on Sunday about a Turkey and Russia/Ukraine export deal, talks have fallen apart. Spring wheat harvest was estimated at 77% complete yesterday. It will be interesting to see if funds are still net short on this Friday’s COT report.

ZWZ26 Moving Averages – (769) 5-day, (701) 20-day, (673) 50-day, (662) 100-day, (629) 200-day

ZWH27 Moving Averages – (785) 5-day, (717) 20-day, (689) 50-day, (677) 100-day, (644) 200-day

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Hans Schmit
Broker, Pure Hedge Division
312-765-7311
hschmit@walshtrading.com

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