9/30/25
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The Livestock Markets were mixed today, with the Fats and Feeders trading higher and the Hogs lower. The Fats opened lower this morning but closed the day higher. December’25 Live Cattle were 95 cents higher today and settled at 234.77 ½. Today’s high was 235.00 and the 1-month high is 242.82 ½. Today’s low was 231.75 and the 1-month low is 230.07 ½. Since 8/29 December’25 Live Cattle are 6.00 lower or almost 2 ½%. The Feeders opened lower as well and spent the morning 3.00 underwater before catching a bid and marching higher through the day. The November’25 Feeder Cattle were 5.47 ½ lower today and settled at 359.35. Today’s high was 359.80 and the 1-month high is 366.45. Today’s low was 350.62 ½ and the 1-month low is 342.12 ½. Since 8/29 November’25 Feeder Cattle are 4.25 lower or more than 1%. The Hogs were stuck in the mud again today. December’25 Hogs were 1.62 ½ lower today and settled at 88.72 ½. Today’s high was 90.47 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 91.52 ½. Today’s low was 88.60 and the 1-month low is 886.52 ½. Since 8/29 December’25 Lean Hogs are 1.32 ½ higher or just over 1 ½%. The Cattle Markets opened lower this morning but caught a bid after the Grain Report was released. The Fats and the Feeders are both lower through September, as expected, but not by as much as I thought they would be. The December’25 Fats still gave back 6.00 since 8/29 and the November’25 Feeders lost 4.25. Today’s charge ahead in the Feeders erased more than half of the loses in September. It looked like the anticipated heavy selling at the end of the month, and end of the quarter did not happen, so the Markets headed North. The December’25 Fats still closed lower on the month and 8.80 below the Contract High of 243.57 ½. The Feeders were lower for the month as well and today settled 8.30 below the Contract High of 367.65. I still like the Cattle Markets lower and am looking for a 10% break to be completed in each market. If that were to happen, the December’25 Fats would need to break 15.56 from today’s settlement price, and the November’25 Feeders would need to break 28.46 ½ from today’s closing price. The December’25 Hogs were down again today, after losing 70 cents yesterday. December’25 Lean Hogs were higher on Friday after the report, up 2.42 ½ on the day, but the last two trading sessions they have been down a combined 2.32 ½. I still like the Hog Market lower from here and the selling pace could pick up if the record long Funds start selling. There are a few April’26 Lean Hog Trades that were structured today below. Give me a call if you have any questions. If you buy them – Hedge them.
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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. ***WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS***
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The Grain Markets were all lower today as the quarterly stocks report did not help anything. The Beans traded to within ½ a cent of the 10.00 level today. November’25 Soybeans were 8 ¾ cents lower today and settled at 1001 ¾. Today’s high was 1009 ¼ and the 1-month high is 1053. Today’s low was 1000 ½ and that is the new 1-month low as well. Since 8/29 November’25 Soybeans are 52 ¾ cents lower or 5%. The Corn Market made a new 1-month low as well. December’25 Corn was 6 cents lower today and settled at 415 ½. Today’s high was 421 ½ and the 1-month high is 431 ¼. Today’s low was 414 and that is the new 1-month low as well. Since 8/29 December’25 Corn is 4 ¾ cents lower or more than 1%. The Wheat Market took it on the chin today. December’25 Wheat was 11 ½ cents lower today and settled at 508. Today’s high was 519 ¾ and the 1-month high is 535 ¾. Today’s low was 506 ¾ and that is the new 1-month and contract low as well. Since 8/29 December’25 Wheat is 26 ¼ cents lower or almost 5%. The Quarterly Stocks Report did not help anything; however, you can now lock in great pricing in the Option Markets for an upside trade, one, two and three months out. I have said before and continue to recommend buying the Jan’26 or March ’26 contract months. This year has been the perfect storm in the Grain Markets, and with three months left in the year, I expect to see another surprise in prices, to the upside. If you do not believe the Grain Markets will move much the rest of the year, there are ways to capitalize on that as well in the Option Markets. There are a few Hog trades below, along with important upcoming dates. Have a great night.
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April’26 Lean Hog Straddles structured and sent out earlier today below.
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IMPORTANT UPCOMING DATES BELOW
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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS
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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.
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December’25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.
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December’25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below.
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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it.
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GOD BLESS AMERICA
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Give me a call if you have any questions.
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Bill Allen
Vice President
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312-957-8079
WALSH TRADING INC.
311 South Wacker Drive
Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606
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