Pure Hedge – Livestock

Bill AllenGeneral Commentary

3/15/24

The Livestock Markets were all higher today, and the Grains were mixed. April’24 Live Cattle were 30 cents higher today and settled at 187.25, in the middle of today’s range. Today’s high was 188.425 and the 1-month high is 190.275. Today’s low was 186.650 and the 1-month low is 184.475. Since 2/15 April’24 Live Cattle are 1.625 higher or almost 1%. The Feeders gained as well today. April’24 Feeder Cattle were 95 cents higher today and settled at 252.125. Today’s high was 258.875 and the 1-month high is 260.800. Today’s low was 251.250 and the 1-month low is 250.275. Since 2/15 April’24 Feeder Cattle are 1.975 higher or about ¾%. The Hogs kept climbing today. April’24 Lean Hogs were 1.90 higher today and settled at 86.925, not far below today’s high of 87.525. The 1-month high is 88.900. Today’s low was 84.950 and the 1-month low is 83.150. Since 2/15 April’24 Lean Hogs are 2.025 higher or almost 2 ½%. The Grains were mixed today, with the Wheat in the red again. May’24 Soybeans were 3 cents higher today and settled at 1198 ¼, not far below today’s high of 12.00. the 1-month high is 1217 ½. Today’s low was 1183 ½ and the 1-month low is 1128 ½. Since 2/15 May’24 Soybeans are 32 ¼ cents higher or almost 3%. The Corn made a few cents today. May’24 Corn was 3 cents higher today and settled at 436 ¾. Today’s high was 440 and the 1-month high is 445. Today’s low was 431 ¾ and the 1-month low and 52-week low is 408 ¾. Since 2/15 May’24 Corn is 7 cents higher or over 1 ½%. The Wheat Market continued lower today. May’24 Wheat was 3 ¾ lower today and settled at 528 ½. Today’s high was 537 ½ and the 1-month high is 594 ¼. Today’s low was 526 ¾ and the 1-month and 52-week low is 523 ½. Since 2/15 May’24 Wheat is 38 ¾ cents lower or almost 7%. The Cattle Markets floated between positive and negative for part of the morning and then headed higher but gave a lot back before the close. I still feel that the Cattle Markets will turnover soon, and head south. The Cattle looked heavy today, and with bad export numbers, and rising inflation, they look expensive too. I don’t believe the demand will last much longer. The Soybeans opened lower today and were in the red most of the day but were able to post a three-cent gain. I still feel that in the short term the Bean Market can rise, and if gets around the 12.50 level, I feel that’s a good spot to sell it again. Long-term I am still Bearish the Soybean Market and think it will head toward the $10.00 level by harvest. Have a good weekend and protect your downside exposure in these markets.

                                

LIVE CATTLE CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 187.250190C0.850$340
195C0.150$60
200C0.050$20
ATM 187C 2.150ATM STRADDLE 4.050EXPIRES 4/5/24
JUN’24 183.600190C 1.775$710
 195C0.800$320
 200C0.375$150
ATM 184C 4.150ATM STRADDLE 8.700EXPIRES 6/7/24
AUG’24 182.625190C0.300$120
195C1.400$560
200C 0.775$310
ATM 183C 5.150ATM STRADDLE 10.675EXPIRES 8/2/24

LIVE CATTLE PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 187.250180P0.300$120
175P0.100$40
170P0.075$30
ATM 187P 1.900ATM STRADDLE 4.050EXPIRES 4/5/24
JUN’24 183.600170P0.850$340
 165P0.450$180
 160P0.250$100
ATM 184P 4.550ATM STRADDLE 8.700EXPIRES 6/7/24
AUG’24 182.625170P2.050$820
160P0.725$290
150P0.275$110
ATM 183P 5.525ATM STRADDLE 10.675EXPIRES 8/2/24

FEEDER CATTLE CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 252.125255C3.275$1,637.50
260C1.675$837.50
265C0.825$412.50
ATM 252C 4.675ATM STRADDLE 9.250EXPIRES 3/28/24
MAY’24 256.000260C5.050$2,525
 265C3.275$1,637.50
 270C2.050$1.025
ATM 256C 6.900ATM STRADDLE 13.800EXPIRES 4/25/24
AUG’24 267.375280C5.650$2,825
290C3.125$1,562.50
300C1.700$850
ATM 268C 10.550ATM STRADDLE 21.725EXPIRES 5/23/24

FEEDER CATTLE PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 252.125245P2.075$1,037.50
240P1.125$562.50
230P0.325$162.50
ATM 252P 4.575ATM STRADDLE 9.250EXPIRES 3/28/24
MAY’24 256.000240P1.925$962.50
 235P1.250$625
 230P0.825$412.50
ATM 256P 6.900ATM STRADDLE 13.800EXPIRES 4/25/24
AUG’24 267.375250P4.625$2,312.50
240P2.625$1,312.50
230P1.450$725
ATM 268P 11.175ATM STRADDLE 21.725EXPIRES 5/23/24

LEAN HOG CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 86.925 90C0.500$200
95C0.100$40
100C0.025$10
ATM 87C 1.450ATM STRADDLE 2.550EXPIRES 4/12/24
JUN’24 102.475 106C2.625$1,050
  116C0.575$230
  126C0.150$60
ATM 102C 4.450ATM STRADDLE 8.425EXPIRES 6/14/24
JUL’24 104.475 116C1.075$430
120C0.625$250
126C0.300$120
ATM 104C 5.075ATM STRADDLE 9.650EXPIRES 7/15/24

LEAN HOG PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
APR’24 86.92580P0.125$50
75P0.050$20
70P0.050$20
ATM 87P 1.525ATM STRADDLE 2.550EXPIRES 4/12/24
JUN’24 102.47586P0.500$200
 80P0.250$100
 76P0.150$60
ATM 102P 3.975ATM STRADDLE 8.425EXPIRES 6/14/24
JUL’24 104.47590P0.925$370
86P0.575$230
80P0.300$120
ATM 104P 4.575ATM STRADDLE 9.650EXPIRES 7/15/24

THE ABOVE PRICES REFLECT CURRENT DATE AND SETTLEMENT PRICES AND EXCLUDES THE COST OF COMMISSIONS AND FEES. THERE IS A SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS WHEN TRADING FUTURES OR OPTIONS ON FUTURES AND EACH INVESTOR OR TRADER MUST CONSIDER WHETHER IT IS A SUITABLE INVESTMENT. PURCHASE OF LONG OPTIONS CAN RESULT IN THE LOSS OF THE ENTIRE PURCHASE PRICE PLUS COSTS.

I have market commentary and option charts in Pure Hedge – Livestock

and Pure Hedge – Grain at WWW.WALSHTRADING.COM 

Call for specific trade recommendations.

1-312-957-8079 

1.800.993.5449

Email me for free research. 

BAllen@walshtrading.com 

Bill Allen

Senior Account Executive

Direct:      1 312 957 8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

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