Pure Hedge – Livestock

Bill AllenGeneral Commentary

10/13/23

The Meats were all lower today but mixed for the week. December’23 Live Cattle was 1.050 lower today, and settled at 186.750, but eked out a gain of 0.075 for the week. November’23 Feeder Cattle were down 2.000 today and settled at 251.575 but were 0.700 higher for the week. December’23 Lean Hogs were also a little lower today. Hogs were 0.600 lower today, and 4.075 lower for the week. Next year’s prices: June’24 Live Cattle 187.700, August’24 Feeder Cattle 271.500, August’24 Lean Hogs 95.475.

LIVE CATTLE CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
DEC’23 186.750190C1.850$740
195C0.675$270
200C0.250$100
205C0.100$40
210C0.025$10
ATM 187C 3.125ATM STRADDLE 6.500EXPIRES 12/1/23
FEB’24 190.925195C 3.550$1420
 200C1.775$710
 205C0.900$360
210C0.450$180
215C0.225$90
ATM 191C 5.150ATM STRADDLE 10.375EXPIRES 2/2/24
APR’24 193.850200C3.825$1530
206C2.100$840
210C1.350$540
216C0.700$280
220C0.450$180
ATM 194C 6.450ATM STRADDLE 13.05EXPIRES 4/5/24

LIVE CATTLE PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
DEC’23 187.700180P1.025$410
175P0.425$170
170P0.175$70
165P0.100$40
160P0.050$20
ATM 187P 3.375ATM STRADDLE 6.500EXPIRES 12/1/23
FEB’24 190.925185P2.875$1150
 180P1.650$660
 175P0.875$350
170P0.550$220
165P0.325$130
ATM 191P 5.225ATM STRADDLE 10.375EXPIRES 2/2/24
APR’24 193.850186P3.500$1400
180P2.050$820
176P1.425$570
170P0.825$330
166P0.575$230
ATM 194P 6.600ATM STRADDLE 13.05EXPIRES 4/5/24

JUNE’24 LIVE CATTLE

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVE STRIKE CURRENT PRICE
187.700 20% BULL MOVE 225.240 224C 0.350
187.700 20% BEAR MOVE 150.160 152P 0.525
187.700 30% BULL MOVE 244.010 244C 0.075
187.700 30% BEAR MOVE 131.390 132P 0.125
187.700 40% BULL MOVE 262.780 262C 0.050
187.700 40% BEAR MOVE 112.620 114P 0.025
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.

FEEDER CATTLE CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
NOV’23 251.575255C1.875$937.50
260C0.775$387.50
265C0.325$162.50
270C0.150$75
275C0.075$37.50
ATM 251C 3.600ATM STRADDLE 6.625EXPIRES 11/16/23
JAN’24 252.250255C5.475$2737.50
 260C3.600$1800
 265C2.275$1137.50
270C1.400$700
275C0.875$437.50
ATM 252C 6.875ATM STRADDLE 13.500EXPIRES 1/25/24
MAR’24 254.925266C5.900$2950
270C4.600$2300
276C3.100$1550
280C2.350$1,175
286C1.375$687.50
ATM 254C 9.625ATM STRADDLE 18.325EXPIRES 3/28/24

FEEDER CATTLE PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
NOV’23 251.575245P1.100$550
240P0.450$225
235P0.225$112.50
230P0.100$50
225P0.050$25
ATM 251P 3.025ATM STRADDLE 6.625EXPIRES 11/16/23
JAN’24 252.250245P3.800$1900
 240P2.450$1225
 235P1.550$775
230P1.000$500
225P0.650$325
ATM252P 6.625ATM STRADDLE 13.500EXPIRES 1/25/24
MAR’24 254.925246P5.450$2725
240P3.675$1837.50
236P2.775$1387.50
230P1.825$912.50
226P1.375$687.50
ATM 254P 8.700ATM STRADDLE 18.325EXPIRES 3/28/24

AUGUST’24 FEEDER CATTLE

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVE STRIKE CURRENT PRICE
271.500 20% BULL MOVE 325.800 324C 1.450
271.500 20% BEAR MOVE 217.200 218P 1.525
271.500 30% BULL MOVE 352.950 352C 0.575
271.500 30% BEAR MOVE 190.050 192P 0.475
271.500 40% BULL MOVE 380.100 380C 0.300
271.500 40% BEAR MOVE 162.900 164P 0.100
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.

LEAN HOG CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
DEC’23 69.500 80C0.350$140
85C0.150$60
90C0.075$30
95C0.025$10
100C0.025$10
ATM 69C 3.225ATM STRADDLE 5.950EXPIRES 12/14/23
FEB’24 74.350 80C2.050$820
  85C0.975$390
  90C0.475$190
95C0.225$90
100C0.125$50
ATM74C 4.475ATM STRADDLE 8.600EXPIRES 2/14/24
APR’24 81.300 90C2.200$880
96C1.075$430
100C0.675$270
106C0.350$140
110C0.225$90
ATM 82C 5.100ATM STRADDLE 10.900EXPIRES 4/12/24

LEAN HOG PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICECOST
DEC’23 69.50070P3.225$1290
65P1.225$490
60P0.400$160
55P0.150$60
50P0.050$20
ATM 69P 2.725ATM STRADDLE 5.95EXPIRES 12/14/23
FEB’24 74.35070P2.475$990
 65P1.150$460
 60P0.550$220
55P0.250$100
50P0.125$50
ATM 74P 4.125ATM STRADDLE 8.600EXPIRES 2/14/24
APR’24 81.30076P3.225$1290
70P1.575$630
66P0.950$380
60P0.450$180
56P0.275$110
ATM 82P 5.800ATM STRADDLE 10.900EXPIRES 4/12/24

AUGUST’24 LEAN HOGS

CURRENT PRICE PRICE ACTION PRICE AFTER MOVE STRIKE CURRENT PRICE
95.475 20% BULL MOVE 114.570 114C 1.625
95.475 20% BEAR MOVE 76.380 78P 1.825
95.475 30% BULL MOVE 124.118 124C 0.675
95.475 30% BEAR MOVE 66.832 68P 0.725
95.475 40% BULL MOVE 133.665 132C 0.350
95.475 40% BEAR MOVE 57.285 58P 0.250
CURRENT PRICE REFLECTS TODAYS SETTLEMENT PRICE ONLY AND WILL CHANGE OVER TIME AND WITH VOLATILITY. THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS.

Bill Allen
Senior Account Executive, Walsh Trading

Phone: 312-957-8079 or 800-556-9411
Email: [email protected]

www.walshtrading.com

Walsh Trading
53 W Jackson Suite 750
Chicago, Il 60604