Pure Hedge–Cattle

Peter McGinnGeneral Commentary

PURE HEDGE

CATTLE

In my opinion, the medium to long term outlook for the cattle market is still bullish.  In review of the daily charts, I would suggest this recent move upward, caused by a lack of production into the 4th and 1st quarter.  December Live cattle futures rallied this week making puts on all contracts cheaper for downside risk. Feeder cattle back month contracts are should be looked at being bought in the near term to avoid upside price risk as the prices for this week have rallied slightly. In order to take full advantage of price discovery, we must keep an astute eye on potential slaughter numbers and monthly Cattle on Feed reports.  Please take a look at the below listed puts and calls, so we can have a productive conversation about hedging your beef production using real examples. Also, select the link at the bottom to use our Cattle producers’ B/E calculator to have a more defined outlook at how you can protect your production. Keep in mind, commissions and fees are not included in the cost of the option.

LIVE CATTLE– PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
SEP   
140.175$70
138.125$50
136.050$20
OCT
 140.925$370
 138.625$250
 136.400$160
    
DEC   
 1462.175$870
 1441.650$660
 140.975$390

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

FEEDER CATTLE–CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
OCT   
 1884.300$2150
 1903.425$1712.5
 1922.675$1337.5
NOV   
 1885.975$2987.5
 1904.975$2487
 1924.100$2050
JAN   
 1907.275$3275
 1926.325$3162.5
 1945.450$2725

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

CATTLE PRODUCERS HEDGING CALCULATOR

C:\Users\pMcGinn\Documents\Cattle Producer calculator.xlsx

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