MONDAY AM RADAR — FAST EAST LOADING RADAR
Moderate rain/storms over eastern IA into western WI … heavy storms / rain over eastern OK into far ne corner of TX … across southern ARK into northern MS … into far sw ARK and central TN… showers over eastern KY into WVA.
RAINFALL LAST 24 HRS ending 0700 cdt 14 AUGUST
0.50-2.0″/ 12-50mm over 70% of central and southern MN into 50% of central & north central IA. In central NEB a storm dropped 1-3″/25-75mm over Broken Bow south to Lexington… and over the TX Panhandle into north central TX and into southern OK 0.50-2.0″/12-50mm 60-70% coverage. These rain extended into southern half of ARK and nw MS where amounts of 1-4″/25-100mm were common.
MAX TEMPS SUNDAY
TEMPS more below normal max temps … 70s over ND, SD, MN, IA, WI, MI, ILL, ne NEB, MO, ARK … 80s over eastern MT/WY/COL, rest of NEB, SK, OK, TX Panhandle, southern ILL/ most of IND, OH, KY, TN … northern MS /AL/GA.
MODELS WETTER 1-5 DAY IN IA/ WCB … 0z MONDAY EURO HAD HUGE RAIN EVENT FOR ALL OF IA, IN 6-10D
1-5 DAY = The 0z GFS model is even wetter over WCB and especially over IA… this model has large area of 1-3″/25-75mm over 75% eastern half NEB, 85%+ IA into southern MN and all of WI.
There are lessor rains of 1-2″/25-50mm with 50-60% coverage over KS, MO, ILL, IND, OH, KY, TN… The 0z Monday EURO model is wetter as well over ALL of the WCB also showing 1-3″/ 25-75mm with 60-70% coverage eastern half SD/ NEB/ KS … north MO … most of IA, most of MN, WI, north ILL. GFS & EURO ensemble mean strongly support 1-3″/ 25-75mm rains over these areas with high % coverage in next 5 days.
6-10 DAY = 0z Monday GFS shows no changes from Sunday afternoon – light to moderate rains over 50% of IA, 70% ILL, WI, southern IND, western KY… GFS ensemble is actually just as wet showing 0.50-1.75″/12-45mm over IA, MO, WI, north ILL, But southern IND/ KY is dry. 0z EURO – interestingly the 0z Monday European model now has large area of 1-6″/ 25-150mm over 75% of eastern NEB, IA, far nw ILL!!! But the Euro ensemble does NOT support that huge rain. Instead the Euro ensemble shows what it showed last night — still has moderate rains 0.50-1.5″/ 12-38mm all of WCB.
11-15 DAY = no changes.