For the complete South America Grain Weather Report, CLICK HERE.
Summary:
Argentina –
The Models over the weekend and this Monday morning have NOT changed at all. The lack of ANY rain over 0.50″/
12mm over any portion of Argentina over the next 10 days is really quite remarkable. The 11-15 day operational or
regular GFS model does bring some moderate rains into all of Argentina, but the GFS ensembles are much drier as is
the European ensemble. This just highlights how awful the Operational or regular GFS model is in the 11-15 day.
None of the MJO data has changed either … and both the Rossby wave week 3 and week 4 model and the CFS week … week 4 … and week 5 … keeps all of Argentina in Below Normal or Much Below Normal rainfall.
12mm over any portion of Argentina over the next 10 days is really quite remarkable. The 11-15 day operational or
regular GFS model does bring some moderate rains into all of Argentina, but the GFS ensembles are much drier as is
the European ensemble. This just highlights how awful the Operational or regular GFS model is in the 11-15 day.
None of the MJO data has changed either … and both the Rossby wave week 3 and week 4 model and the CFS week … week 4 … and week 5 … keeps all of Argentina in Below Normal or Much Below Normal rainfall.
Brazil –
In Brazil all models still show HUGE rains over the next 10 days. The GFS and even the operational European model has 12-17 inches of rain over central Brazil. For weeks and months much of central and eastern Brazil has been in a severe drought and some of this drought has been going on for years. If this data is correct the drought may end by FEB 10.
Current weather conditions are presented for Argentina and Brazil along with next 30 days rain and temperature projections.
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