Pure Hedge – Livestock and Grain

Bill AllenGeneral Commentary

8/28/25

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     The Livestock Markets were mixed today, with the Fats, Feeders losing a couple bucks. October’25 Live Cattle were 2.60 lower today and settled at 236.92 ½. Today’s high was 240.12 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 242.07 ½. Today’s low was 236.60 and the 1-month low is 221.90. Since 7/28 October’25 Live Cattle are 12.15 higher or more than 5%. The October’25 Feeder Cattle were 2.67 ½ lower today and settled at 361.52 ½. Today’s high was 366.27 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 369.37 ½. Today’s low was 360.82 ½ and the 1-month low is 328.10. Since 7/28 October’25 Feeder Cattle are 28.17 ½ higher or more than 8%. The Hogs traded higher again today. October’25 Hogs were 37 ½ cents higher today and settled at 94.27 ½. Today’s high was 94.47 ½ and the 1-month high is 94.82 ½. Today’s low was 93.62 ½ and the 1-month low is 87.92 ½. Since 7/28 October’25 Lean Hogs are 3.40 higher or almost 4%. There are new Strangle Trades in October’25 Feeder Cattle below, along with yesterday’s April’26/November’25 Feeder Cattle Spreads. The Fats and Feeders both gave a few dollars back today, as the August contracts are coming to a close, and the last trading day of the month is tomorrow. We will see if the Cattle Market continue to break tomorrow, with the October’25 Fats currently 5.15 below the contract highs, and the October’25 Feeders now 7.87 off the contract highs. If you think the Cattle Markets will continue to break, then I recommend putting on one of the Strangle Trades shown below. If you think the Cattle Markets will bounce back and continue higher from here, then one again I recommend putting on a Strangle Trade. One thing is clear; the Fats and Feeders looks like they will continue to keep moving for a while, and with a Strangle you are looking for market movement, not direction, and with the price of the Cattle Markets so high, buying a Call and a Put gives you protection if the markets have a big move in the wrong direction, without having any exposure to a margin call, as you are only buying premium. There are three different kinds of Strangles below. The first set has the Calls and Puts basically equidistant from the Futures Price. The second group of Trades have the Calls closer to at the money and would benefit more from a rally at the current prices. The third group have the Puts closer to at the money and would gain in value quicker on a continued break in the Markets. If you are interested in any of these trades or would like to open an account, give me a call. Once again, if you buy Livestock, Hedge your Livestock. I look forward to hearing from you. Have a great night.

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NOW IS THE TIME TO OPEN AN ACCOUNT BEFORE ANOTHER MONTH PASSES BY – If you hit the link and provide your information, you will have a wealth of Market information at your fingertips.  Sign Up Now

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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     The Grain Markets were all higher today and settled near the highs of the day. The Beans were able to bounce back and stay positive today. November’25 Soybeans were ½ a cent higher today and settled at 1048. Today’s high was 1049 ¼ and the 1-month high is 1062 ¾. Today’s low was 1039 ¾ and the 1-month low is 981 ¼. Since 7/28 November’25 Soybeans are 37 cents higher or almost 4%. The Corn Market settled just a penny off the high today. December’25 Corn was 4 cents higher today and settled at 410. Today’s high was 411 and the 1-month high is 416 ½. Today’s low was 403 ½ and the 1-month and contract low are 392. Since 7/28 December’25 Corn is 4 cents lower or almost 1%. The Wheat Market rallied 9 cents off the low today. December’25 Wheat was 4 ¾ cents higher today and settled at 529. Today’s high was 530 and the 1-month high is 559. Today’s low was 520 ¼ and the 1-month and contract low is 517 ¼. Since 7/28 December’25 Wheat is 29 ¾ cents lower or more than 5%. The Grains were all lower this morning but fought back and closed well off the bottom and just below the highs of the day. Exports were stronger than expected for the Soybeans and Soybean Oil. I think there is a good chance the Beans can keep rallying if demand stays this strong before any possible China Trade Deal. With Bean Oil exports higher than expected, and the thought trade deals could be close, I loke buying the Bean Oil Futures Spreads. They have come way down, and right now you can buy the December’25 and January’26 months under the July’26 contract month. I feel the Corn Market can rally from here, with the USDA putting out the huge Bushel per acre forecast, and private estimates much lower. The Wheat does what it wants to, and things do not look good pertaining to Russia. Anything is possible, but if the Wheat wants to rally and put some war premium back into the market, it will. If you have any questions for me, just give me a call. Make sure to take a look at the Trades below. Have a great night. 

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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If you don’t like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving at your new and very large brokerage house, you have options, and you don’t have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM Sign Up Now

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THE TRADES BELOW WERE STRUCTURED YESTERDAY 8/27/25

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 Here are some new Strangle Trades in the October’25 Feeder Cattle. Please let me know if you are interested or have any questions. 

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If you would like to open an account, please call or send me an email BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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December’25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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December’25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS

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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list   Sign Up Now 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link – Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

WALSH TRADING INC.

311 South Wacker Drive

Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606

www.walshtrading.com

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