Cattle Commentary

Peter McGinnGeneral Commentary

Cattle markets showed a lot of strength this morning with the February contract trading as high as 158.825 but almost immediately sold off after it failed to break through the 159-resistance level. Mid-morning cash trades reported were $160, according to the USDA’s Morning national Slaughter Cattle Review, so that should lend support to the market for tomorrow. In my opinion, with the strong start in the cash trade, I still believe the trend is higher and remains bullish going forward unless there are weaker cash trades later in the week. If there is another rejection of the 159 highs, I would then become hesitant to believe that $161 is the next price target like I had stated in previous posts. Total volume today was about the same as the amount traded yesterday.

Packer demand for cash cattle is expected to be greater this week. With Choice beef prices surging $3.15 on Monday and the Choice/Select spread at a strong $26.54, signs point toward packers paying higher prices for cash cattle than last week’s $157.74 average. February live cattle futures posted a bullish reversal on Monday, which puts the contract high at $159.175 as bulls’ near-term target. Monday’s low at $156.525 is near-term support. 

FEB Cattle

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