PURE HEDGE– Cattle

Peter McGinnGeneral Commentary

PURE HEDGE

CATTLE

In my opinion, the medium to short term outlook on the cattle market looks to neutral. The cattle market looks to be consolidating here as demand is weak in the near term but supply concerns for the 1st quarter are keeping the market from completely bottoming out. In order to take full advantage of price discovery, we must keep an astute eye on potential slaughter numbers and monthly Cattle on Feed reports.  Please take a look at the below listed puts and calls, so we can have a productive conversation about hedging your beef production using real examples. Also, select the link at the bottom to use our Cattle producers’ B/E calculator to have a more defined outlook at how you can protect your production. Keep in mind, commissions and fees are not included in the cost of the option.

LIVE CATTLE– PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
NOV   
1461.000$400
144.550$220
140.200$80
DEC
 1461.950$780
 1441.325$530
 140.625$250
FEB   
 1482.875$1150
 1462.250$900          
 1441.750$700

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

LIVE CATTLE– CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
NOV   
150.950$380
1481.825$730
1463.050$1220
DEC
 156.425$170
 154.700$280
 1521.200$480
FEB   
 1581.850$740
 1562.500$1000
 1543.300$1320

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

FEEDER CATTLE–CALLS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
OCT   
 188.025$12.5
 190.025$12.5
 192.025$12.5
NOV   
 188.275$137.50
 190.200$100
 192.125$62.5
JAN   
 1901.200$600
 192.950$475
 194.775$387.50

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

FEEDER CATTLE–PUTS

MONTHSTRIKEPRICEPREMIUM COST
OCT   
 1762.450$1225
 1783.875$1937.50
 1805.550$2775
NOV   
 1805.600$2800
 1827.175$3587.50
 1848.900$4450
JAN   
 1807.025$3512.50
 1828.300$4150
 1849.700$4850

*Cost in above table does not include commissions and fees

CATTLE PRODUCERS HEDGING CALCULATOR

C:\Users\pMcGinn\Documents\Cattle Producer calculator.xlsx

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