Ag Commentary

John WalshGrains

The soy complex awaits the future. the fundamentals from a historic perspective are very bearish. However, the carry at 430 harkins to the last few years where the carry fell based on the lack of global production. Is this where we are at today ? perhaps. But the Brazilian and Argentinian weather is improving drastically. This will go a ways to growing …

Daily Gold Report

Sean LuskGeneral Commentary

Precious metals futures were ending the U.S. day session modestly lower but well up from their daily lows. After seeing selling pressure for most of this week, the selling finally subsided with gold closing at 1283.0 basis December futures while silver closed at 1699.5. For the week December gold has lost $21.60, while silver has lost 41.5 cents. With U.S. stock …

Wednesday AM US Grain Weather from WxRisk.com

walshtradingGeneral Commentary, Weather

WEDNESDAY AM RADAR – FAST  EAST LOADING RADAR  The Wednesday morning radar is completely clear of any sort of precipitation over any portion of the Plains …the Midwest …and the Delta regions.  In fact the only significant precipitation is some moderate steady rain over the western third of Washington State. TUESDAY MAX TEMPS  Temperatures were quite uniform across most areas in the …

Livestock Report

Ben DiCostanzoGeneral Commentary, Livestock

Live Cattle The December Live Cattle contract broke down on Tuesday, October 17, 2017 as analysts’ estimates for the upcoming Cattle on Feed report were revealed. Analysts are predicting another bearish report on Friday afternoon.  Price tested the 8 DMA (117.425), reaching a high of 117.475 early on in the session, before breaking down mid-session and trading to the session …

Medium or Rare? : December Live Cattle

John LunneyGeneral Commentary

December Live Cattle     How would you like your steak sir? That describes the current state of the December Live Cattle market as the key technical level of 116.325 was violated in today’s session. This piercing of the 1st wave high is what I have been leaning on to assess the future price path of the cattle futures. This …

Full US and South American Grain Weather Issues Report from WxRisk.com

walshtradingGeneral Commentary

For the complete US and South American Grain Weather Issues Report, CLICK HERE. For those interested in Grains, every Thursday, Sean Lusk, Director Walsh Commercial Hedging Services hosts a FREE Grain Outlook webinar. Sean will hold his next Grain Outlook webinar on Thursday, October 19th. REGISTER NOW. If you cannot attend live, a recording will be sent to your inbox …

Livestock Report

Ben DiCostanzoGeneral Commentary, Livestock

Live Cattle The December Live Cattle contract consolidated on Monday, October 16, 2017. It formed a doji candlestick while testing support at the 116.55 level, making the low at 116.525. It made the high at 117.525, just above the 8 DMA (117.40). It ended the session in between at 117.10. A breakdown below 116.55 could lead to a test of …

Daily Gold Report

Sean LuskGeneral Commentary

Gold and silver futures are retreating in aftermarket trading on Monday after posting three week highs at the end of last week. Geo-political tensions were cited as one of the reasons for both silver an gold to trade up and through their 50 , 100, and 200 day moving averages on Friday October 13th. Gold settled on Friday at 1304.6, …

Rejón de Muerte ?: December Live Cattle

John LunneyGeneral Commentary

December Live Cattle      Rejon de Muerto translates into the ” lance of death” and refers to the sword used by the Matador to kill the bull. This swift and violent act has not yet transpired in the live cattle market but the blade has been drawn as the market approaches the wave high of 116.325. Once again the …

Ag Commentary

John WalshGrains

The markets rallied again today based on concerns over dryness in central and northern Brazil. The forecast has some chance for improvement. This however remains to be seen. So we have built in some risk premium early. justifiable ? Remains to be seen . Looking forward the US carryover at 430 million bu is probably understated by 70 – 90 …