Cattle markets continue to trade in a range. Feeder Cattle is trading between 159.90 and 155.525. Live Cattle is trading between 119.75 and 116.625. The cash market on a live basis between 110.00 and 112.00 and dressed between 173.00 and 175.00. Boxed beef between 203.00 and 206.00. Supply and demand in a balanced (ho hum) state. What can alter the …
Grain Spreads: The State of Grain
Impressive bounce in beans and a modest pop for corn followed by recent rallies in wheat being sold into has been the theme for grains to start October and the 4th quarter. Trade agreements like NAFTA being reworked with the recent impasse with Canada now behind us has given thoughts to deals being reworked and resolved with the EU and …
AG TIME – Production
The USDA will release production estimates on Thursday. This report will be of importance, in my opinion. The expectation is for a larger yield, approaching a record. The carry will continue to rise to unprecedented levels if the numbers continue to climb. The global picture remains much the same. The Brazilian is way ahead on planting with some key areas …
Resumption of Harvest
The National Weather Service forecast of cooler and drier than normal in the Heartland in the October 13 to 17 period is a small reason for today’s weakness…………………………………………………..We have experienced fund short covering ahead of the USDA Production and Supply/Demand Reports on Thursday and some analysts believe that the grain markets have ripe for funds to increase participation in a …
Friday wrap, Inflation, higher rates
GOOD MORNING, The following represents my thoughts , opinions, and the market chatter I pick up, So, It is my belief that knowing or thinking one knows where we are in a given cycle can assist in a long term thought. Then The Olive Line can assist in smoothing out the trading levels. I have been bullish Inflation for quite …
Harvest Headaches/Seeding/USDA Report
It’s starting to look like it’s not going to be a cake walk with harvesting corn and beans………………………Wet today and the radar shows systems coming in every few days and then the National Weather Service in its 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day forecast suggests that the western half of the corn belt might be cooler than normal …
AG TIME key levels
The soy traded both sides. A few thoughts to consider. The markets have rallied off strong demand outside of China for US beans. This buying spree may be coming to an end on the board. To go higher the fundamental picture really is not in place in my opinion. I have spoken of looking at the 2019 nov beans above …
Managed Inflation Expectations, Bonds to Cattle
Good Pre Unenjoyment Thurs, Unemployment out Friday. I think we running a little hot. Watch wages. Bonds get tattooed on 4th olive buy attempt, 139.23, a low a couple times UNTIL ITS NOT. Long term macro opinion is wildly bullish inflation. I quoted 2.97% low tick for months but now long term interest rates are up over 13% to 3.37% …
Harvest Delay Headaches
Traders are talking about the possibility of higher incidents of field loss in beans and corn as Mother Nature appears to be less cooperative as the weather forecasts are suggesting wetter than normal conditions prevailing for the next two weeks……………………………………………Over all, we have been fortunate, to date, with extremely beneficial rain events yet, a week or two of dryness would …
Livestock Report – Lean Hogs
December Lean Hogs pulled back hard on Wednesday October 3, 2018, trading past support at 58.25 and the 21 DMA at 56.65 to the session low at 56.475. It settled at 57.15. It back in the middle of the 58.65 – 54.525 trading range. The euphoria over the USMC trade deal has waned and fears the trade war with China …